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3097.T$4725.00-6.16%
Fair $4725.00+0.0%

3097.T

The Monogatari Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$4725.00

-310.00 (-6.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4725.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 58/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.6B · quality 62.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 60/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

58/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3097.TLocal privado en este navegador · The Monogatari Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$181.4B

P/E

26.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.2x

↑

ROE

15.3%

↑

Gross Margin

65.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.38

↓
52-Week Range$4725
$3420$5290

TradingView lightweight chart

3097.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4,720Periodo +2881.1%
Fair value: $4,725

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+19.1%

FCF CAGR

-2.5%

FCF margin

1.3%

FCF / Net income

0.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $123.92B · net income $6.16B · FCF $1.60B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

65.1%-0.2% pts

Operating margin

7.5%+3.5% pts

Net margin

5.0%-0.1% pts

FCF margin

1.3%-1.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$123.92B$123.92B$107.16B$92.27B$73.28B
Net Income$6.16B$6.16B$5.64B$4.69B$3.73B
EBITDA$13.97B$13.97B$12.58B$10.48B$8.64B
EPS80.7580.75151.95127.78102.41
Gross Margin65.1%65.1%65.5%65.3%65.3%
Operating Margin7.5%7.5%7.6%7.8%3.9%
Net Margin5.0%5.0%5.3%5.1%5.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.380.380.510.420.46
Current Ratio1.241.24———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.60B$1.60B$462.0M$2.33B$1.72B
Returns
ROE15.3%15.3%19.2%18.9%16.2%
Valuation
P/E26.0026.0022.8426.7317.51
EV/EBITDA13.2313.2310.4512.257.80
P/B4.524.524.385.062.84
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.6%15.6%16.1%25.9%—
EPS Growth-46.9%-46.9%18.9%24.8%—
Dividend Yield0.9%0.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

73.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$419.27

Spread vs growth

-120.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

44.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$507.31

Spread vs growth

-91.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$817.03

Spread vs growth

-72.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +37.9%

Total return

+37.9%

Start / end P/E

22.7x → 58.5x

EPS bridge

151.95 → 80.75

Residual

-73.9%

EPS growth-46.9%
Multiple rerating+157.8%
Dividend+0.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-73.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.