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3138.T$1137.00+1.16%
Fair $1137.00+0.0%

3138.T

Fujisan Magazine Service Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailTokyo

$1137.00

+13.00 (+1.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1137.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 5/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $71.8M · quality 50.7/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3138.TLocal privado en este navegador · Fujisan Magazine Service Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.8B

P/E

47.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

2.4x

↓

ROE

3.3%

↓

Gross Margin

27.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.19

↓
52-Week Range$1137
$855$1209

TradingView lightweight chart

3138.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,133Periodo -54.7%
Fair value: $1,137

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.9%

FCF CAGR

-28.4%

FCF margin

1.2%

FCF / Net income

0.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.81B · net income $79.2M · FCF $71.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.1%-4.0% pts

Operating margin

2.8%-4.6% pts

Net margin

1.4%-3.5% pts

FCF margin

1.2%-2.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.81B$5.81B$5.62B$5.77B$5.97B
Net Income$79.2M$79.2M$171.0M$223.0M$288.1M
EBITDA$501.2M$501.2M$577.6M$584.1M$650.5M
EPS——51.8968.1086.61
Gross Margin27.1%27.1%29.8%29.9%31.0%
Operating Margin2.8%2.8%5.5%6.2%7.4%
Net Margin1.4%1.4%3.0%3.9%4.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.190.190.230.240.27
Current Ratio1.221.22———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$71.8M$71.8M$-78.8M$145.6M$195.5M
Returns
ROE3.3%3.3%7.2%9.9%13.9%
Valuation
P/E47.3447.3412.8310.219.10
EV/EBITDA2.452.45-0.79-0.490.22
P/B1.561.560.921.011.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.5%3.5%-2.6%-3.3%—
EPS Growth——-23.8%-21.4%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +24.7%

Total return

+24.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

51.89 → n/d

Residual

+23.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+23.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.