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3148.T$3220.00+0.47%
Fair $3220.00+0.0%

3148.T

Create SD Holdings Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / Pharmaceutical RetailersTokyo

$3220.00

+15.00 (+0.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3220.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $5.2B · quality 52.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 64/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 3148.TLocal privado en este navegador · Create SD Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$208.0B

P/E

12.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.0x

↓

ROE

11.0%

↑

Gross Margin

26.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$3220
$3075$3625

TradingView lightweight chart

3148.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,220Periodo +302.5%
Fair value: $3,220

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.2%

FCF CAGR

-10.8%

FCF margin

1.3%

FCF / Net income

0.38x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $457.09B · net income $15.69B · FCF $5.97B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.1%-1.2% pts

Operating margin

5.0%-0.2% pts

Net margin

3.4%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

1.3%-1.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$457.09B$457.09B$422.33B$380.96B$350.74B
Net Income$15.69B$15.69B$13.69B$12.93B$12.60B
EBITDA$28.30B$28.30B$25.23B$23.27B$22.16B
EPS242.82242.82215.61204.46199.24
Gross Margin26.1%26.1%26.1%27.0%27.3%
Operating Margin5.0%5.0%4.8%5.0%5.2%
Net Margin3.4%3.4%3.2%3.4%3.6%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio1.271.27———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.97B$5.97B$5.22B$2.68B$8.42B
Returns
ROE11.0%11.0%10.5%11.1%11.8%
Valuation
P/E12.5612.5615.9316.9214.68
EV/EBITDA6.016.017.137.796.45
P/B1.461.461.671.881.74
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.2%8.2%10.9%8.6%—
EPS Growth12.6%12.6%5.5%2.6%—
Dividend Yield2.8%2.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

5.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$285.72

Spread vs growth

7.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

7.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$345.72

Spread vs growth

5.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$556.79

Spread vs growth

4.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.8%

Total return

+6.8%

Start / end P/E

14.4x → 13.3x

EPS bridge

215.61 → 242.82

Residual

-1.0%

EPS growth+12.6%
Multiple rerating-7.6%
Dividend+2.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.