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3159.T$353.00+0.28%
Fair $353.00+0.0%

3159.T

Maruzen CHI Holdings Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailTokyo

$353.00

+1.00 (+0.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $353.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.4B · quality 49.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 48/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 3159.TLocal privado en este navegador · Maruzen CHI Holdings Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$32.7B

P/E

9.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.5x

↓

ROE

6.1%

↑

Gross Margin

26.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.74

↑
52-Week Range$353
$315$376

TradingView lightweight chart

3159.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $353.00Periodo -27.4%
Fair value: $353.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.4%

FCF CAGR

+10.3%

FCF margin

0.7%

FCF / Net income

0.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $185.05B · net income $3.33B · FCF $1.36B

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

26.1%+1.8% pts

Operating margin

3.0%+1.1% pts

Net margin

1.8%+0.7% pts

FCF margin

0.7%+0.1% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$185.05B$185.05B$165.78B$162.93B$162.80B
Net Income$3.33B$3.33B$3.91B$2.19B$1.77B
EBITDA$7.60B$7.60B$7.86B$5.58B$4.92B
EPS——42.2323.7119.16
Gross Margin26.1%26.1%24.7%24.7%24.2%
Operating Margin3.0%3.0%2.1%2.2%1.9%
Net Margin1.8%1.8%2.4%1.3%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.740.740.760.840.85
Current Ratio1.681.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.36B$1.36B$1.17B$4.81B$1.02B
Returns
ROE6.1%6.1%7.7%4.7%3.9%
Valuation
P/E9.799.797.6213.8818.01
EV/EBITDA5.545.545.077.869.29
P/B0.600.600.580.650.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth11.6%11.6%1.8%0.1%—
EPS Growth——78.1%23.7%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.7%

Total return

+10.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

42.23 → n/d

Residual

+9.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+9.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.