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3174.T$515.00+0.97%
Fair $515.00+0.0%

3174.T

Happiness and D Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Specialty RetailTokyo

$515.00

+5.00 (+0.97%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $515.00Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 5/F
F-Score: 4/9
High DebtDeclining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $105.7M · quality 18.3/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

5/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 18.97, above the 2.0 threshold Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -4.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3174.TLocal privado en este navegador · Happiness and D Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-406.5%

↓

Gross Margin

40.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

18.97

↑
52-Week Range$515
$500$750

TradingView lightweight chart

3174.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $519.00Periodo -59.1%
Fair value: $515.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.4%

FCF CAGR

-50.1%

FCF margin

1.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.84B · net income $-808.6M · FCF $105.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

40.6%+7.2% pts

Operating margin

-4.6%-6.0% pts

Net margin

-9.1%-9.8% pts

FCF margin

1.2%-5.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.84B$8.84B$10.78B$12.74B$13.61B
Net Income$-808.6M$-808.6M$-459.1M$-668.1M$89.9M
EBITDA$-536.3M$-536.3M$-265.9M$-212.8M$399.4M
EPS-317.59-317.59-180.39-263.4434.25
Gross Margin40.6%40.6%38.2%35.0%33.4%
Operating Margin-4.6%-4.6%-1.5%-1.7%1.4%
Net Margin-9.1%-9.1%-4.3%-5.2%0.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity18.9718.973.923.622.13
Current Ratio1.191.19———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$105.7M$105.7M$642.6M$-143.6M$849.6M
Returns
ROE-406.5%-406.5%-45.2%-44.4%4.1%
Valuation
P/E————26.28
EV/EBITDA————13.15
P/B6.596.592.021.521.07
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-18.0%-18.0%-15.4%-6.4%—
EPS Growth-76.1%-76.1%31.5%-869.2%—
Dividend Yield2.6%2.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.0%

Total return

-25.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-180.39 → -317.59

Residual

-27.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-27.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.