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3175.T$921.00-0.65%
Fair $921.00+0.0%

3175.T

AP Holdings Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$921.00

-6.00 (-0.65%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $921.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-136.0M · quality 45.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 3175.TLocal privado en este navegador · AP Holdings Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.8B

P/E

10.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

35.9x

↑

ROE

71.6%

↑

Gross Margin

64.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

-111.80

↓
52-Week Range$921
$887$1003

TradingView lightweight chart

3175.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $921.00Periodo -26.1%
Fair value: $921.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+38.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.0%

FCF / Net income

5.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $21.07B · net income $-36.9M · FCF $-201.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

64.0%+7.7% pts

Operating margin

1.2%+48.4% pts

Net margin

-0.2%-0.6% pts

FCF margin

-1.0%+4.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$21.07B$21.07B$20.60B$17.18B$8.00B
Net Income$-36.9M$-36.9M$-452.9M$-1.31B$31.4M
EBITDA$459.7M$459.7M$219.5M$-632.2M$713.2M
EPS-7.53-7.53-44.35-126.43-2.75
Gross Margin64.0%64.0%65.1%64.1%56.4%
Operating Margin1.2%1.2%-0.5%-10.1%-47.1%
Net Margin-0.2%-0.2%-2.2%-7.6%0.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-111.80-111.8053.35168.7916.63
Current Ratio0.660.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-201.5M$-201.5M$-136.0M$507.1M$-430.9M
Returns
ROE71.6%71.6%-402.5%-3246.7%6.7%
Valuation
P/E10.9010.90———
EV/EBITDA35.9435.9473.64—15.06
P/B——104.93219.559.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.3%2.3%19.9%114.8%—
EPS Growth83.0%83.0%64.9%-4497.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +3.3%

Total return

+3.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-44.35 → -7.53

Residual

+3.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+3.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.