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3195.T$432.00-2.48%
Fair $432.00+0.0%

3195.T

Generation Pass Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailTokyo

$432.00

-11.00 (-2.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $432.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $36.1M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 7/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3195.TLocal privado en este navegador · Generation Pass Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

21.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.8x

↑

ROE

8.6%

↑

Gross Margin

27.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.67

↑
52-Week Range$432
$363$850

TradingView lightweight chart

3195.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $432.00Periodo -18.9%
Fair value: $432.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.5%

FCF / Net income

-4.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $16.55B · net income $161.4M · FCF $-741.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.3%+1.9% pts

Operating margin

0.7%+0.2% pts

Net margin

1.0%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

-4.5%-5.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$16.55B$16.55B$16.24B$15.15B$15.98B
Net Income$161.4M$161.4M$-138.8M$-23.3M$343.7M
EBITDA$267.4M$267.4M$24.2M$168.8M$487.5M
EPS——-17.10-2.8742.32
Gross Margin27.3%27.3%26.3%26.5%25.3%
Operating Margin0.7%0.7%0.5%-0.0%0.5%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%-0.9%-0.2%2.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.670.670.540.490.52
Current Ratio1.541.54———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-741.0M$-741.0M$183.4M$36.1M$89.0M
Returns
ROE8.6%8.6%-7.9%-1.2%17.4%
Valuation
P/E21.7221.72——9.45
EV/EBITDA14.8314.8372.9112.035.98
P/B1.861.861.161.181.64
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.0%2.0%7.2%-5.2%—
EPS Growth——-495.8%-106.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.2%

Total return

+10.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-17.10 → n/d

Residual

+10.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+10.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.