StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
3199.T$1289.00-1.07%
Fair $1289.00+0.0%

3199.T

Watahan & Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Home Improvement RetailTokyo

$1289.00

-14.00 (-1.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1289.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.9B · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3199.TLocal privado en este navegador · Watahan & Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$24.1B

P/E

12.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.4x

↓

ROE

8.9%

↑

Gross Margin

21.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.15

↑
52-Week Range$1289
$1280$1690

TradingView lightweight chart

3199.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,289Periodo +276.9%
Fair value: $1,289

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.2%

FCF / Net income

-1.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $133.59B · net income $2.08B · FCF $-2.88B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.0%-0.9% pts

Operating margin

2.6%+0.5% pts

Net margin

1.6%-0.4% pts

FCF margin

-2.2%-0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$133.59B$133.59B$128.07B$134.30B$114.50B
Net Income$2.08B$2.08B$1.85B$1.65B$2.20B
EBITDA$5.75B$5.75B$5.28B$5.19B$5.12B
EPS104.62104.6293.0983.16111.07
Gross Margin21.0%21.0%21.4%20.5%21.9%
Operating Margin2.6%2.6%2.2%1.8%2.1%
Net Margin1.6%1.6%1.4%1.2%1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.151.150.881.411.16
Current Ratio1.271.27———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.88B$-2.88B$12.47B$-3.65B$-1.63B
Returns
ROE8.9%8.9%8.1%7.8%11.4%
Valuation
P/E12.7612.7616.2716.5911.59
EV/EBITDA8.408.408.7810.448.48
P/B1.101.101.321.291.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.3%4.3%-4.6%17.3%—
EPS Growth12.4%12.4%11.9%-25.1%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

3.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$114.38

Spread vs growth

9.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$138.40

Spread vs growth

6.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$222.89

Spread vs growth

4.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.9%

Total return

-13.9%

Start / end P/E

16.5x → 12.3x

EPS bridge

93.09 → 104.62

Residual

-3.2%

EPS growth+12.4%
Multiple rerating-25.5%
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.