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3315.HK$0.71+1.43%
Fair $0.71+0.0%

3315.HK

Goldpac Group Limited

Technology / Software - InfrastructureHKSE

$0.71

+0.01 (+1.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.71Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $215.9M · quality 67.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3315.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Goldpac Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$564M

P/E

11.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

0.9x

↓

ROE

2.0%

↓

Gross Margin

27.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

3315.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.710Periodo -89.5%
Fair value: $0.710

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-15.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

14.6%

FCF / Net income

3.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $930.8M · net income $40.1M · FCF $136.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.1%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

2.7%-3.5% pts

Net margin

4.3%-5.3% pts

FCF margin

14.6%+16.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$930.8M$930.8M$1.10B$1.42B$1.53B
Net Income$40.1M$40.1M$50.9M$132.1M$147.4M
EBITDA$93.9M$93.9M$99.8M$225.8M$218.4M
EPS0.050.050.060.160.18
Gross Margin27.1%27.1%23.6%29.7%26.3%
Operating Margin2.7%2.7%1.1%9.8%6.2%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%4.6%9.3%9.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.010.03
Current Ratio4.624.62———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$136.0M$136.0M$222.1M$215.9M$-31.8M
Returns
ROE2.0%2.0%2.5%6.4%7.2%
Valuation
P/E11.8311.8316.199.028.56
EV/EBITDA0.880.886.253.543.15
P/B0.280.280.410.580.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.0%-15.0%-22.7%-7.4%—
EPS Growth-20.6%-20.6%-61.3%-9.9%—
Dividend Yield5.6%5.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

8.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

-28.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

8.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.08

Spread vs growth

-29.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.12

Spread vs growth

-30.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -17.2%

Total return

-17.2%

Start / end P/E

14.6x → 14.2x

EPS bridge

0.06 → 0.05

Residual

+0.6%

EPS growth-20.6%
Multiple rerating-2.8%
Dividend+5.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.