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3358.T$89.00-2.20%
Fair $89.00+0.0%

3358.T

Trailhead Global Holdings,Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$89.00

-2.00 (-2.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $89.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $44.4M · quality 80.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 76/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 1.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3358.TLocal privado en este navegador · Trailhead Global Holdings,Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.3B

P/E

49.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

39.7x

↑

ROE

1.1%

↓

Gross Margin

49.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$89
$86$174

TradingView lightweight chart

3358.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $89.00Periodo -78.8%
Fair value: $89.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.3%

FCF CAGR

+24.9%

FCF margin

3.8%

FCF / Net income

3.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.46B · net income $18.4M · FCF $55.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

49.5%+0.0% pts

Operating margin

1.7%+5.3% pts

Net margin

1.3%+7.7% pts

FCF margin

3.8%+1.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.46B$1.46B$1.42B$1.43B$1.29B
Net Income$18.4M$18.4M$37.6M$35.6M$-83.1M
EBITDA$61.6M$61.6M$82.0M$105.6M$10.1M
EPS0.580.581.191.16-2.74
Gross Margin49.5%49.5%50.6%50.3%49.4%
Operating Margin1.7%1.7%2.6%-2.3%-3.6%
Net Margin1.3%1.3%2.6%2.5%-6.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.410.56
Current Ratio1.121.12———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$55.6M$55.6M$33.9M$44.4M$28.5M
Returns
ROE1.1%1.1%2.5%2.5%-6.0%
Valuation
P/E49.7249.7295.6398.79—
EV/EBITDA39.7239.7241.3332.19227.43
P/B1.731.732.392.451.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.7%2.7%-0.2%10.8%—
EPS Growth-51.3%-51.3%2.9%142.3%—
Dividend Yield2.3%2.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

138.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$7.90

Spread vs growth

-190.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

75.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$9.56

Spread vs growth

-126.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

38.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$15.39

Spread vs growth

-90.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.3%

Total return

-11.3%

Start / end P/E

86.6x → 153.4x

EPS bridge

1.19 → 0.58

Residual

-39.6%

EPS growth-51.3%
Multiple rerating+77.3%
Dividend+2.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-39.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.