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3420.T$1514.00+0.47%
Fair $1514.00+0.0%

3420.T

KFC Ltd

Industrials / ConglomeratesTokyo

$1514.00

+7.00 (+0.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1514.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-152.7M · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 4.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3420.TLocal privado en este navegador · KFC Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.1B

P/E

10.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.6x

↓

ROE

4.7%

↓

Gross Margin

26.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$1514
$1321$1746

TradingView lightweight chart

3420.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,512Periodo +41.3%
Fair value: $1,514

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $26.07B · net income $997.4M · FCF $-279.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.9%-1.9% pts

Operating margin

5.2%-4.4% pts

Net margin

3.8%-3.3% pts

FCF margin

-1.1%-3.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$26.07B$26.07B$25.07B$22.63B$25.96B
Net Income$997.4M$997.4M$1.18B$1.05B$1.84B
EBITDA$1.76B$1.76B$1.96B$1.76B$2.79B
EPS135.53135.53159.93142.95250.11
Gross Margin26.9%26.9%27.4%27.2%28.8%
Operating Margin5.2%5.2%6.5%5.6%9.6%
Net Margin3.8%3.8%4.7%4.6%7.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.020.030.03
Current Ratio2.632.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-279.3M$-279.3M$-152.7M$3.09B$616.7M
Returns
ROE4.7%4.7%5.7%5.4%9.6%
Valuation
P/E10.6710.679.779.057.09
EV/EBITDA4.574.573.843.893.78
P/B0.520.520.560.490.68
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.0%4.0%10.8%-12.8%—
EPS Growth-15.3%-15.3%11.9%-42.8%—
Dividend Yield9.3%9.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$134.34

Spread vs growth

-15.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$162.55

Spread vs growth

-19.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$261.80

Spread vs growth

-22.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +23.7%

Total return

+23.7%

Start / end P/E

8.3x → 11.2x

EPS bridge

159.93 → 135.53

Residual

-5.3%

EPS growth-15.3%
Multiple rerating+35.1%
Dividend+9.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.