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3437.T$2759.00-0.11%
Fair $2759.00+0.0%

3437.T

Tokuden Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryTokyo

$2759.00

-3.00 (-0.11%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2759.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-576.1M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3437.TLocal privado en este navegador · Tokuden Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.4B

P/E

9.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.9x

↓

ROE

6.2%

↑

Gross Margin

26.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.17

↓
52-Week Range$2759
$2316$3910

TradingView lightweight chart

3437.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,759Periodo +48.7%
Fair value: $2,759

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.5%

FCF / Net income

-1.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.54B · net income $467.4M · FCF $-474.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.6%-1.4% pts

Operating margin

6.0%-1.1% pts

Net margin

4.4%-1.2% pts

FCF margin

-4.5%-13.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$10.54B$10.54B$9.59B$9.70B$8.62B
Net Income$467.4M$467.4M$379.6M$696.5M$486.0M
EBITDA$998.6M$998.6M$754.2M$1.07B$794.0M
EPS295.64295.64240.10440.53307.40
Gross Margin26.6%26.6%27.9%28.8%28.0%
Operating Margin6.0%6.0%5.2%8.3%7.1%
Net Margin4.4%4.4%4.0%7.2%5.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.170.170.120.100.02
Current Ratio2.812.81———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-474.0M$-474.0M$-576.1M$-1.50B$780.7M
Returns
ROE6.2%6.2%5.3%10.1%7.8%
Valuation
P/E9.559.5510.205.797.19
EV/EBITDA3.953.953.672.090.34
P/B0.570.570.540.590.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.9%9.9%-1.2%12.6%—
EPS Growth23.1%23.1%-45.5%43.3%—
Dividend Yield3.7%3.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$244.82

Spread vs growth

29.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$296.23

Spread vs growth

23.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$477.08

Spread vs growth

18.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.8%

Total return

+22.8%

Start / end P/E

9.6x → 9.3x

EPS bridge

240.10 → 295.64

Residual

-0.8%

EPS growth+23.1%
Multiple rerating-3.3%
Dividend+3.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.