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3463.T$111800.00+0.81%
Fair $111800.00+0.0%

3463.T

3463.T

Real Estate / REIT - Hotel & MotelTokyo

$111800.00

+900.00 (+0.81%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $111800.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF n/d · quality 12.0/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. Missing current price or market-cap data; cannot run NAV/AFFO REIT valuation. ROE is 4.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3463.TLocal privado en este navegador · 3463.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$0

P/E

13.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

20.8x

↑

ROE

4.8%

↑

Gross Margin

69.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.80

↑
52-Week Range$111800
$105600$143300

TradingView lightweight chart

3463.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $111,800Periodo +2.4%
Fair value: $111,800

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+29.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-277.2%

FCF / Net income

-6.64x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.72B · net income $1.97B · FCF $-13.09B

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

69.6%+20.0% pts

Operating margin

54.3%+13.7% pts

Net margin

41.7%+19.5% pts

FCF margin

-277.2%-332.3% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$4.72B$4.72B$3.33B$2.37B$2.15B
Net Income$1.97B$1.97B$1.29B$704.5M$478.8M
EBITDA$3.22B$3.22B$2.26B$1.64B$1.38B
EPS6104.056104.055071.672762.98—
Gross Margin69.6%69.6%65.5%53.5%49.7%
Operating Margin54.3%54.3%51.4%43.8%40.6%
Net Margin41.7%41.7%38.8%29.7%22.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.800.800.790.820.81
Current Ratio0.680.68———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-13.09B$-13.09B$-840.1M$411.7M$1.19B
Returns
ROE4.8%4.8%4.0%2.2%1.5%
Valuation
P/E13.4113.4121.3733.84—
EV/EBITDA20.7820.7822.7827.8431.58
P/B0.890.890.860.750.69
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth41.7%41.7%40.4%10.2%—
EPS Growth20.4%20.4%83.6%——
Dividend Yield6.4%6.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$9920.39

Spread vs growth

2.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$12003.67

Spread vs growth

5.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$19332.03

Spread vs growth

8.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.0%

Total return

-1.0%

Start / end P/E

23.8x → 18.3x

EPS bridge

5071.67 → 6104.05

Residual

-4.7%

EPS growth+20.4%
Multiple rerating-23.1%
Dividend+6.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.