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3477.T$787.00-0.51%
Fair $787.00+0.0%

3477.T

FORLIFE Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Residential ConstructionTokyo

$787.00

-4.00 (-0.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $787.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-151.5M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3477.TLocal privado en este navegador · FORLIFE Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.1B

P/E

5.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.7x

↓

ROE

13.9%

↑

Gross Margin

12.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.10

↑
52-Week Range$787
$627$945

TradingView lightweight chart

3477.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $787.00Periodo +13.9%
Fair value: $787.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.0%

FCF / Net income

-1.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $14.77B · net income $550.8M · FCF $-743.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.0%-2.5% pts

Operating margin

4.0%-2.1% pts

Net margin

3.7%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

-5.0%-0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$14.77B$14.77B$13.99B$14.11B$12.36B
Net Income$550.8M$550.8M$151.3M$235.8M$480.3M
EBITDA$919.5M$919.5M$292.9M$411.6M$777.6M
EPS137.72137.7237.8358.97120.09
Gross Margin12.0%12.0%9.9%10.5%14.6%
Operating Margin4.0%4.0%1.9%2.8%6.1%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%1.1%1.7%3.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.101.101.051.241.03
Current Ratio1.661.66———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-743.6M$-743.6M$390.6M$-151.5M$-538.4M
Returns
ROE13.9%13.9%4.4%7.0%14.9%
Valuation
P/E5.785.7815.7810.285.83
EV/EBITDA4.664.6612.199.595.24
P/B0.790.790.690.720.87
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.6%5.6%-0.9%14.2%—
EPS Growth264.0%264.0%-35.8%-50.9%—
Dividend Yield4.1%4.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-20.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$69.83

Spread vs growth

284.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$84.50

Spread vs growth

273.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$136.09

Spread vs growth

264.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +27.7%

Total return

+27.7%

Start / end P/E

16.8x → 5.7x

EPS bridge

37.83 → 137.72

Residual

-174.4%

EPS growth+264.0%
Multiple rerating-66.1%
Dividend+4.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-174.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.