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3488.T$104300.00-0.76%
Fair $104300.00+0.0%

3488.T

CENTRAL REIT Investment Corporation

Real Estate / REIT - DiversifiedTokyo

$104300.00

-800.00 (-0.76%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $104300.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF n/d · quality 25.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled.
Thesis & Journal · 3488.TLocal privado en este navegador · CENTRAL REIT Investment Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$26.0B

P/E

14.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

20.4x

↑

ROE

6.1%

↑

Gross Margin

64.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.76

↑
52-Week Range$104300
$104200$121900

TradingView lightweight chart

3488.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $104,300Periodo -3.3%
Fair value: $104,300

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

53.1%

FCF / Net income

1.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.43B · net income $1.61B · FCF $1.82B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

64.0%-5.9% pts

Operating margin

54.0%-5.3% pts

Net margin

47.0%-6.8% pts

FCF margin

53.1%+238.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.43B$3.43B$3.36B$3.31B$3.49B
Net Income$1.61B$1.61B$1.66B$1.60B$1.87B
EBITDA$2.20B$2.20B$2.18B$2.07B$2.28B
EPS6451.306451.306655.556428.027915.33
Gross Margin64.0%64.0%65.0%63.6%69.9%
Operating Margin54.0%54.0%55.6%54.1%59.3%
Net Margin47.0%47.0%49.4%48.5%53.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.760.760.750.750.75
Current Ratio0.820.82———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.82B$1.82B$1.84B$1.77B$-6.45B
Returns
ROE6.1%6.1%6.3%6.1%7.1%
Valuation
P/E13.9613.9617.1418.2215.89
EV/EBITDA20.4220.4221.5523.0121.82
P/B0.990.991.081.111.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.9%1.9%1.6%-5.0%—
EPS Growth-3.1%-3.1%3.5%-18.8%—
Dividend Yield6.4%6.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

12.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$9254.89

Spread vs growth

-15.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

11.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$11198.41

Spread vs growth

-14.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$18035.16

Spread vs growth

-13.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.8%

Total return

+0.8%

Start / end P/E

16.6x → 16.2x

EPS bridge

6655.55 → 6451.30

Residual

+0.1%

EPS growth-3.1%
Multiple rerating-2.5%
Dividend+6.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.