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3511.TWO$24.00+9.84%
Fair $24.00+0.0%

3511.TWO

Simula Technology Inc.

Technology / Electronic ComponentsTaipei Exchange

$24.00

+2.15 (+9.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $24.00Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $29.6M · quality 52.0/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -7.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3511.TWOLocal privado en este navegador · Simula Technology Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.9B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

542.1x

↑

ROE

-7.2%

↓

Gross Margin

12.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$24
$18$25

TradingView lightweight chart

3511.TWO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $24.00Periodo -68.5%
Fair value: $24.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-25.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.0%

FCF / Net income

2.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.75B · net income $-94.2M · FCF $-192.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.5%-9.1% pts

Operating margin

-8.3%-18.5% pts

Net margin

-5.4%-11.3% pts

FCF margin

-11.0%-22.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.75B$1.75B$1.77B$2.04B$4.23B
Net Income$-94.2M$-94.2M$-100.9M$-83.5M$249.2M
EBITDA$3.3M$3.3M$-766000.00$56.5M$638.1M
EPS——-1.26-1.043.09
Gross Margin12.5%12.5%11.7%13.9%21.6%
Operating Margin-8.3%-8.3%-8.8%-4.2%10.2%
Net Margin-5.4%-5.4%-5.7%-4.1%5.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.110.080.16
Current Ratio2.152.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-192.3M$-192.3M$29.6M$371.4M$490.0M
Returns
ROE-7.2%-7.2%-7.2%-5.6%14.2%
Valuation
P/E————10.73
EV/EBITDA542.12542.12—31.553.42
P/B1.481.481.901.491.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.9%-0.9%-13.3%-51.8%—
EPS Growth——-21.2%-133.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +3.9%

Total return

+3.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.26 → n/d

Residual

+3.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+3.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.