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3542.T$1374.00+1.03%
Fair $1374.00+0.0%

3542.T

Vega Corporation Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailTokyo

$1374.00

+14.00 (+1.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1374.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $401.8M · quality 33.0/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 3542.TLocal privado en este navegador · Vega Corporation Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$14.6B

P/E

16.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.9x

↑

ROE

9.9%

↑

Gross Margin

51.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$1374
$997$2410

TradingView lightweight chart

3542.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,374Periodo +9.9%
Fair value: $1,374

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.5%

FCF / Net income

0.68x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $15.94B · net income $591.7M · FCF $401.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

51.2%-4.4% pts

Operating margin

5.8%+2.3% pts

Net margin

3.7%+1.4% pts

FCF margin

2.5%+14.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$15.94B$15.94B$16.06B$16.97B$16.83B
Net Income$591.7M$591.7M$394.4M$120.4M$382.6M
EBITDA$1.13B$1.13B$925.1M$420.0M$782.0M
EPS57.1657.1637.7911.4836.22
Gross Margin51.2%51.2%49.8%49.9%55.7%
Operating Margin5.8%5.8%4.8%2.0%3.5%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%2.5%0.7%2.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity————0.19
Current Ratio2.062.06———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$401.8M$401.8M$106.1M$1.84B$-2.04B
Returns
ROE9.9%9.9%7.1%2.3%7.3%
Valuation
P/E16.3516.3523.7951.4825.54
EV/EBITDA10.9410.948.2510.2612.41
P/B2.392.391.691.171.85
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.8%-0.8%-5.4%0.8%—
EPS Growth51.3%51.3%229.2%-68.3%—
Dividend Yield2.6%2.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

28.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$121.92

Spread vs growth

22.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$147.52

Spread vs growth

30.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

15.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$237.59

Spread vs growth

35.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +38.6%

Total return

+38.6%

Start / end P/E

26.7x → 24.0x

EPS bridge

37.79 → 57.16

Residual

-5.2%

EPS growth+51.3%
Multiple rerating-10.1%
Dividend+2.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.