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3558.T$1663.00+1.08%
Fair $1663.00+0.0%

3558.T

JADE GROUP,Inc

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailTokyo

$1663.00

+18.00 (+1.08%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1663.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 61/B
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.4B · quality 75.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 71/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

61/100

B

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3558.TLocal privado en este navegador · JADE GROUP,Inc
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$17.2B

P/E

11.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.6x

↓

ROE

20.9%

↑

Gross Margin

77.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$1663
$1161$2329

TradingView lightweight chart

3558.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,682Periodo +23.0%
Fair value: $1,663

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+22.9%

FCF CAGR

+4.5%

FCF margin

7.3%

FCF / Net income

0.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $19.44B · net income $1.57B · FCF $1.42B

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

77.9%-1.9% pts

Operating margin

12.4%+2.9% pts

Net margin

8.1%-3.9% pts

FCF margin

7.3%-4.6% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$19.44B$19.44B$19.23B$13.36B$10.46B
Net Income$1.57B$1.57B$565.0M$1.00B$1.26B
EBITDA$3.22B$3.22B$1.85B$1.86B$1.14B
EPS———88.32110.62
Gross Margin77.9%77.9%78.9%74.9%79.8%
Operating Margin12.4%12.4%8.0%12.6%9.5%
Net Margin8.1%8.1%2.9%7.5%12.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.130.360.11
Current Ratio2.602.60———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.42B$1.42B$2.70B$669.4M$1.25B
Returns
ROE20.9%20.9%10.3%16.1%21.4%
Valuation
P/E10.9710.97—28.779.09
EV/EBITDA4.584.585.6815.747.39
P/B2.292.292.344.621.95
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.1%1.1%44.0%27.6%—
EPS Growth———-20.2%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +41.4%

Total return

+41.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

+39.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+39.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.