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3583.T$1172.00-2.74%
Fair $1172.00+0.0%

3583.T

AuBEX CORPORATION

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresTokyo

$1172.00

-33.00 (-2.74%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1172.00Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $455.4M · quality 69.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 61/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3583.TLocal privado en este navegador · AuBEX CORPORATION
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.2B

P/E

5.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.7x

↓

ROE

8.6%

↑

Gross Margin

38.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.22

↓
52-Week Range$1172
$1125$1399

TradingView lightweight chart

3583.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,172Periodo +67.4%
Fair value: $1,172

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.2%

FCF CAGR

-18.2%

FCF margin

7.5%

FCF / Net income

0.79x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.04B · net income $580.1M · FCF $455.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

38.0%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

13.9%+1.1% pts

Net margin

9.6%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

7.5%-7.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.04B$6.04B$5.39B$5.32B$5.49B
Net Income$580.1M$580.1M$436.4M$469.2M$536.5M
EBITDA$1.12B$1.12B$885.7M$986.0M$1.02B
EPS209.05209.05156.80169.17194.04
Gross Margin38.0%38.0%34.8%35.4%35.8%
Operating Margin13.9%13.9%10.4%11.7%12.9%
Net Margin9.6%9.6%8.1%8.8%9.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.290.380.43
Current Ratio4.874.87———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$455.4M$455.4M$903.6M$63.7M$832.6M
Returns
ROE8.6%8.6%7.0%8.0%9.9%
Valuation
P/E5.615.616.456.034.71
EV/EBITDA1.691.691.922.592.30
P/B0.480.480.450.480.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.0%12.0%1.4%-3.1%—
EPS Growth33.3%33.3%-7.3%-12.8%—
Dividend Yield3.0%3.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-20.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$104.00

Spread vs growth

54.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$125.83

Spread vs growth

43.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$202.66

Spread vs growth

33.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -2.7%

Total return

-2.7%

Start / end P/E

7.9x → 5.6x

EPS bridge

156.80 → 209.05

Residual

-9.8%

EPS growth+33.3%
Multiple rerating-29.3%
Dividend+3.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.