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3609.TWO$28.75-2.54%
Fair $28.75+0.0%

3609.TWO

HEP Tech Co., Ltd.

Technology / Electronic ComponentsTaipei Exchange

$28.75

-0.75 (-2.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $28.75Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-127.2M · quality 74.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 43/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3609.TWOLocal privado en este navegador · HEP Tech Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

4.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.9x

↓

ROE

47.2%

↑

Gross Margin

11.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.51

↑
52-Week Range$29
$21$53

TradingView lightweight chart

3609.TWO price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $28.75Periodo -33.1%
Fair value: $28.75

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-24.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.66x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $665.2M · net income $246.5M · FCF $-163.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.1%-8.0% pts

Operating margin

-21.6%-10.7% pts

Net margin

37.1%+48.3% pts

FCF margin

-24.6%+10.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$665.2M$665.2M$389.6M$625.5M$802.3M
Net Income$246.5M$246.5M$-166.2M$-202.3M$-90.0M
EBITDA$308.0M$308.0M$-96.4M$-135.1M$-35.9M
EPS——-4.71-5.73-2.76
Gross Margin11.1%11.1%23.2%10.8%19.1%
Operating Margin-21.6%-21.6%-36.5%-28.1%-10.9%
Net Margin37.1%37.1%-42.6%-32.3%-11.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.510.512.021.620.89
Current Ratio1.711.71———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-163.3M$-163.3M$-115.0M$-127.2M$-282.2M
Returns
ROE47.2%47.2%-59.1%-57.0%-16.2%
Valuation
P/E4.484.48———
EV/EBITDA3.883.88———
P/B2.112.115.333.412.93
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth70.7%70.7%-37.7%-22.0%—
EPS Growth——17.8%-107.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -25.5%

Total return

-25.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-4.71 → n/d

Residual

-25.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-25.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.