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3611.T$2264.00-2.72%
Fair $2264.00+0.0%

3611.T

Matsuoka Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel ManufacturingTokyo

$2264.00

-64.00 (-2.72%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2264.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 61/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $557.0M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

61/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3611.TLocal privado en este navegador · Matsuoka Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$23.8B

P/E

8.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.3x

↓

ROE

6.9%

↑

Gross Margin

9.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.42

↓
52-Week Range$2264
$1757$2719

TradingView lightweight chart

3611.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,291Periodo -34.0%
Fair value: $2,264

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

0.8%

FCF / Net income

0.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $70.58B · net income $2.60B · FCF $557.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.3%-0.0% pts

Operating margin

0.6%+0.3% pts

Net margin

3.7%+2.6% pts

FCF margin

0.8%+4.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$70.58B$70.58B$60.18B$62.78B$51.06B
Net Income$2.60B$2.60B$2.46B$1.68B$559.0M
EBITDA$6.58B$6.58B$6.60B$4.87B$2.49B
EPS223.73223.73211.32157.1556.84
Gross Margin9.3%9.3%10.8%9.2%9.3%
Operating Margin0.6%0.6%1.3%0.1%0.4%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%4.1%2.7%1.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.420.420.430.490.34
Current Ratio2.532.53———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$557.0M$557.0M$2.89B$-6.82B$-1.75B
Returns
ROE6.9%6.9%7.4%5.7%2.1%
Valuation
P/E8.218.217.218.2219.77
EV/EBITDA3.333.332.132.721.79
P/B0.700.700.530.470.41
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth17.3%17.3%-4.1%23.0%—
EPS Growth5.9%5.9%34.5%176.5%—
Dividend Yield10.0%10.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$200.89

Spread vs growth

9.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$243.08

Spread vs growth

4.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$391.48

Spread vs growth

0.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +38.5%

Total return

+38.5%

Start / end P/E

8.4x → 10.2x

EPS bridge

211.32 → 223.73

Residual

+1.3%

EPS growth+5.9%
Multiple rerating+21.3%
Dividend+10.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.