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3616.HK$0.22+0.46%
Fair $0.22+0.0%

3616.HK

Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentHKSE

$0.22

+0.00 (+0.46%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.22Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -16.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3616.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Ever Reach Group (Holdings) Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$263M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-16.8%

↓

Gross Margin

2.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.64

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

3616.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.219Periodo -80.6%
Fair value: $0.219

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.9%

FCF CAGR

+30.1%

FCF margin

6.8%

FCF / Net income

-0.78x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.54B · net income $-221.4M · FCF $171.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

2.7%-12.1% pts

Operating margin

-6.0%-11.7% pts

Net margin

-8.7%-11.7% pts

FCF margin

6.8%+4.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.54B$2.54B$2.76B$3.57B$2.86B
Net Income$-221.4M$-221.4M$-270.4M$40.9M$84.8M
EBITDA$-145.2M$-145.2M$-148.1M$147.6M$169.3M
EPS-0.18-0.18-0.230.030.07
Gross Margin2.7%2.7%4.5%12.2%14.7%
Operating Margin-6.0%-6.0%-5.3%4.0%5.8%
Net Margin-8.7%-8.7%-9.8%1.1%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.640.640.700.530.39
Current Ratio1.301.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$171.7M$171.7M$-37.7M$-10.7M$78.0M
Returns
ROE-16.8%-16.8%-17.5%2.3%4.8%
Valuation
P/E———6.105.66
EV/EBITDA———6.365.63
P/B0.200.200.200.140.27
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.1%-8.1%-22.5%24.6%—
EPS Growth18.1%18.1%-761.0%-51.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.8%

Total return

-15.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.23 → -0.18

Residual

-15.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.