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3640.T$2285.00-1.04%
Fair $2285.00+0.0%

3640.T

Densan Co., Ltd.

Technology / SemiconductorsTokyo

$2285.00

-24.00 (-1.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2285.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.1B · quality 68.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 64/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3640.TLocal privado en este navegador · Densan Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.7B

P/E

2.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.2x

↓

ROE

14.5%

↑

Gross Margin

34.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.30

↑
52-Week Range$2285
$2244$3940

TradingView lightweight chart

3640.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,285Periodo +185.2%
Fair value: $2,285

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.7%

FCF CAGR

+4.7%

FCF margin

12.1%

FCF / Net income

1.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $18.74B · net income $1.84B · FCF $2.26B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.6%+7.5% pts

Operating margin

13.4%+6.2% pts

Net margin

9.8%+4.9% pts

FCF margin

12.1%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$18.74B$18.74B$15.97B$17.80B$17.31B
Net Income$1.84B$1.84B$898.6M$1.61B$859.3M
EBITDA$3.46B$3.46B$2.03B$3.06B$2.08B
EPS317.07317.07169.05320.91171.41
Gross Margin34.6%34.6%34.6%36.6%27.1%
Operating Margin13.4%13.4%8.1%14.1%7.2%
Net Margin9.8%9.8%5.6%9.1%5.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.300.300.450.700.89
Current Ratio2.162.16———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.26B$2.26B$449.5M$1.05B$1.97B
Returns
ROE14.5%14.5%8.3%18.1%11.6%
Valuation
P/E2.912.918.875.2813.03
EV/EBITDA4.214.215.534.397.84
P/B1.041.040.740.951.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth17.3%17.3%-10.3%2.9%—
EPS Growth87.6%87.6%-47.3%87.2%—
Dividend Yield4.3%4.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-13.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$202.76

Spread vs growth

101.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$245.33

Spread vs growth

92.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$395.11

Spread vs growth

85.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.7%

Total return

-5.7%

Start / end P/E

15.0x → 7.2x

EPS bridge

169.05 → 317.07

Residual

-45.5%

EPS growth+87.6%
Multiple rerating-52.0%
Dividend+4.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-45.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.