StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
3648.T$1023.00-0.67%
Fair $1023.00+0.0%

3648.T

AGS Corporation

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$1023.00

-7.00 (-0.67%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1023.00Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.1B · quality 73.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 66/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3648.TLocal privado en este navegador · AGS Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$17.1B

P/E

8.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.2x

↓

ROE

9.4%

↑

Gross Margin

24.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$1023
$875$1595

TradingView lightweight chart

3648.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,042Periodo +374.7%
Fair value: $1,023

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.5%

FCF CAGR

-49.5%

FCF margin

0.8%

FCF / Net income

0.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $24.86B · net income $1.38B · FCF $203.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.8%+3.2% pts

Operating margin

7.4%+3.0% pts

Net margin

5.5%+2.5% pts

FCF margin

0.8%-6.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$24.86B$24.86B$22.09B$21.07B$21.19B
Net Income$1.38B$1.38B$936.5M$682.5M$638.2M
EBITDA$3.15B$3.15B$2.72B$2.28B$2.29B
EPS81.8981.8954.0238.4235.89
Gross Margin24.8%24.8%24.2%21.2%21.6%
Operating Margin7.4%7.4%5.8%4.1%4.5%
Net Margin5.5%5.5%4.2%3.2%3.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.150.150.11
Current Ratio2.332.33———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$203.5M$203.5M$1.70B$1.09B$1.58B
Returns
ROE9.4%9.4%6.8%5.1%4.9%
Valuation
P/E8.858.8515.3517.7321.26
EV/EBITDA4.204.203.613.634.16
P/B1.181.181.040.901.05
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.5%12.5%4.9%-0.6%—
EPS Growth51.6%51.6%40.6%7.0%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

3.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$90.77

Spread vs growth

48.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$109.84

Spread vs growth

45.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$176.89

Spread vs growth

43.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.1%

Total return

+22.1%

Start / end P/E

16.3x → 12.7x

EPS bridge

54.02 → 81.89

Residual

-11.2%

EPS growth+51.6%
Multiple rerating-21.7%
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.