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3658.HK$1.98-1.98%
Fair $1.98+0.0%

3658.HK

New Hope Service Holdings Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesHKSE

$1.98

-0.04 (-1.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.98Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 4/9
Margin Compression

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 73.0/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 67/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 3658.HKLocal privado en este navegador · New Hope Service Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

6.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.2x

↓

ROE

16.4%

↑

Gross Margin

29.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$2

TradingView lightweight chart

3658.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.980Periodo -48.2%
Fair value: $1.980

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.6%

FCF CAGR

+7.9%

FCF margin

10.8%

FCF / Net income

0.77x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.54B · net income $216.1M · FCF $166.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.7%-8.2% pts

Operating margin

18.2%-4.3% pts

Net margin

14.0%-3.8% pts

FCF margin

10.8%-0.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.54B$1.54B$1.48B$1.26B$1.14B
Net Income$216.1M$216.1M$226.8M$215.0M$203.0M
EBITDA$311.4M$311.4M$331.1M$310.5M$289.6M
EPS——0.280.260.25
Gross Margin29.7%29.7%30.4%34.9%37.9%
Operating Margin18.2%18.2%20.1%22.1%22.5%
Net Margin14.0%14.0%15.3%17.1%17.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.060.050.06
Current Ratio2.552.55———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$166.8M$166.8M$118.4M$323.0M$132.6M
Returns
ROE16.4%16.4%18.2%18.5%18.5%
Valuation
P/E6.606.607.104.476.06
EV/EBITDA2.222.221.92-0.410.88
P/B1.221.221.290.831.12
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.0%4.0%17.5%10.7%—
EPS Growth——5.7%6.0%—
Dividend Yield10.0%10.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.0%

Total return

+17.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.28 → n/d

Residual

+7.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+10.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+7.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.