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v0.1
3661.T$637.00+1.27%
Fair $637.00+0.0%

3661.T

m-up holdings, Inc.

Communication Services / Internet Content & InformationTokyo

$637.00

+8.00 (+1.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $637.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.8B · quality 61.0/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 3661.TLocal privado en este navegador · m-up holdings, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$44.4B

P/E

15.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.6x

↓

ROE

21.5%

↑

Gross Margin

30.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$637
$590$1309

TradingView lightweight chart

3661.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $637.00Periodo +1127.2%
Fair value: $637.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+23.8%

FCF CAGR

+35.5%

FCF margin

19.4%

FCF / Net income

3.00x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $25.78B · net income $1.66B · FCF $5.00B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.3%-1.7% pts

Operating margin

15.8%+3.4% pts

Net margin

6.5%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

19.4%+4.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$25.78B$25.78B$18.57B$15.94B$13.57B
Net Income$1.66B$1.66B$1.48B$1.09B$976.0M
EBITDA$4.43B$4.43B$3.34B$2.57B$2.05B
EPS23.0123.0120.2514.9413.41
Gross Margin30.3%30.3%32.6%31.6%32.0%
Operating Margin15.8%15.8%15.2%13.0%12.4%
Net Margin6.5%6.5%8.0%6.9%7.2%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio1.221.22———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.00B$5.00B$2.81B$817.0M$2.01B
Returns
ROE21.5%21.5%23.2%17.6%19.0%
Valuation
P/E15.2415.2427.7738.7741.28
EV/EBITDA7.617.619.6913.8016.34
P/B5.955.956.456.847.85
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth38.8%38.8%16.6%17.4%—
EPS Growth13.6%13.6%35.6%11.4%—
Dividend Yield3.8%3.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

34.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$56.52

Spread vs growth

-21.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

24.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$68.39

Spread vs growth

-10.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$110.15

Spread vs growth

-3.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.2%

Total return

-31.2%

Start / end P/E

48.3x → 27.7x

EPS bridge

20.25 → 23.01

Residual

-5.8%

EPS growth+13.6%
Multiple rerating-42.7%
Dividend+3.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.