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3668.T$386.00+0.00%
Fair $386.00+0.0%

3668.T

COLOPL, Inc.

Communication Services / Electronic Gaming & MultimediaTokyo

$386.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $386.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.0B · quality 59.7/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 42/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -0.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3668.TLocal privado en este navegador · COLOPL, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$49.6B

P/E

147.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

-0.9x

↓

ROE

-0.4%

↓

Gross Margin

30.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$386
$369$545

TradingView lightweight chart

3668.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $386.00Periodo +24.2%
Fair value: $386.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-7.3%

FCF CAGR

-0.5%

FCF margin

9.7%

FCF / Net income

-8.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $25.93B · net income $-306.0M · FCF $2.53B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.8%+0.6% pts

Operating margin

3.9%-9.4% pts

Net margin

-1.2%-8.6% pts

FCF margin

9.7%+1.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$25.93B$25.93B$25.98B$30.81B$32.54B
Net Income$-306.0M$-306.0M$-1.87B$1.75B$2.41B
EBITDA$596.0M$596.0M$-934.0M$2.98B$4.66B
EPS-2.39-2.39-14.5513.6118.83
Gross Margin30.8%30.8%26.0%29.8%30.2%
Operating Margin3.9%3.9%-4.7%8.6%13.2%
Net Margin-1.2%-1.2%-7.2%5.7%7.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.01——
Current Ratio12.9112.91———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$2.53B$2.53B$83.0M$1.03B$2.57B
Returns
ROE-0.4%-0.4%-2.6%2.3%3.2%
Valuation
P/E147.33147.33—43.0637.02
EV/EBITDA-0.87-0.87—5.786.23
P/B0.720.720.970.991.17
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.2%-0.2%-15.7%-5.3%—
EPS Growth83.6%83.6%-206.9%-27.7%—
Dividend Yield5.2%5.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -17.3%

Total return

-17.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-14.55 → -2.39

Residual

-22.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+5.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-22.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.