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3669.HK$0.86+11.69%
Fair $0.86+0.0%

3669.HK

China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Auto & Truck DealershipsHKSE

$0.86

+0.09 (+11.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.86Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $413.9M · quality 60.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 45/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -59.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3669.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-59.7%

↓

Gross Margin

7.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.52

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

3669.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.860Periodo -87.0%
Fair value: $0.860

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-8.8%

FCF CAGR

-29.7%

FCF margin

1.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $54.60B · net income $-5.07B · FCF $852.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.9%-1.0% pts

Operating margin

-0.9%-2.0% pts

Net margin

-9.3%-11.2% pts

FCF margin

1.6%-1.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$54.60B$54.60B$63.42B$74.30B$72.02B
Net Income$-5.07B$-5.07B$200.8M$572.6M$1.41B
EBITDA$-4.01B$-4.01B$1.74B$2.35B$3.67B
EPS-2.72-2.720.110.290.72
Gross Margin7.9%7.9%8.3%9.0%8.9%
Operating Margin-0.9%-0.9%0.6%1.1%1.1%
Net Margin-9.3%-9.3%0.3%0.8%2.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.520.520.340.400.39
Current Ratio1.181.18———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$852.0M$852.0M$306.4M$413.9M$2.46B
Returns
ROE-59.7%-59.7%1.4%4.1%9.9%
Valuation
P/E——23.279.388.54
EV/EBITDA——4.683.704.19
P/B0.190.190.350.380.85
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.9%-13.9%-14.6%3.2%—
EPS Growth-2572.7%-2572.7%-62.1%-59.7%—
Dividend Yield17.9%17.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -48.9%

Total return

-48.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.11 → -2.72

Residual

-66.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+17.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-66.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.