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v0.1
3678.T$1301.00+1.56%
Fair $1301.00+0.0%

3678.T

MEDIA DO Co., Ltd.

Communication Services / PublishingTokyo

$1301.00

+20.00 (+1.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1301.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.4B · quality 70.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 61/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3678.TLocal privado en este navegador · MEDIA DO Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$19.7B

P/E

10.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.2x

↓

ROE

9.5%

↑

Gross Margin

9.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.14

↓
52-Week Range$1301
$1189$1977

TradingView lightweight chart

3678.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,301Periodo -62.9%
Fair value: $1,301

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.2%

FCF CAGR

+50.1%

FCF margin

1.8%

FCF / Net income

1.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $108.54B · net income $1.82B · FCF $1.91B

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

9.1%-1.7% pts

Operating margin

2.3%-0.1% pts

Net margin

1.7%+0.6% pts

FCF margin

1.8%+1.2% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$108.54B$108.54B$101.91B$94.04B$101.67B
Net Income$1.82B$1.82B$1.36B$-319.0M$1.06B
EBITDA$3.75B$3.75B$3.23B$1.80B$3.04B
EPS119.85119.8590.08-21.8068.35
Gross Margin9.1%9.1%10.1%11.5%10.8%
Operating Margin2.3%2.3%2.4%2.2%2.4%
Net Margin1.7%1.7%1.3%-0.3%1.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.140.140.220.330.40
Current Ratio1.231.23———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.91B$1.91B$3.37B$2.37B$564.0M
Returns
ROE9.5%9.5%7.7%-2.0%6.3%
Valuation
P/E10.8510.8518.15—21.95
EV/EBITDA2.252.254.658.746.49
P/B1.041.041.411.321.39
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.5%6.5%8.4%-7.5%—
EPS Growth33.0%33.0%513.2%-131.9%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$115.44

Spread vs growth

34.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$139.68

Spread vs growth

29.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$224.96

Spread vs growth

26.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -19.9%

Total return

-19.9%

Start / end P/E

18.8x → 10.9x

EPS bridge

90.08 → 119.85

Residual

-13.9%

EPS growth+33.0%
Multiple rerating-42.1%
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-13.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.