StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
3680.T$248.00+4.20%
Fair $248.00+0.0%

3680.T

Hottolink, Inc.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$248.00

+10.00 (+4.20%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $248.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-105.5M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -44.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3680.TLocal privado en este navegador · Hottolink, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.8B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-44.3%

↓

Gross Margin

31.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.24

↑
52-Week Range$248
$192$430

TradingView lightweight chart

3680.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $248.00Periodo -85.7%
Fair value: $248.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-22.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.7%

FCF / Net income

0.10x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.65B · net income $-1.79B · FCF $-172.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.9%+4.6% pts

Operating margin

-50.2%-76.9% pts

Net margin

-49.0%-72.0% pts

FCF margin

-4.7%-10.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.65B$3.65B$4.27B$4.74B$7.91B
Net Income$-1.79B$-1.79B$-564.6M$226.6M$1.82B
EBITDA$-1.37B$-1.37B$-40.3M$801.7M$2.74B
EPS——-36.0014.46116.30
Gross Margin31.9%31.9%30.2%33.0%27.3%
Operating Margin-50.2%-50.2%-16.5%4.7%26.7%
Net Margin-49.0%-49.0%-13.2%4.8%23.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.170.190.23
Current Ratio3.523.52———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-172.7M$-172.7M$-105.5M$315.3M$478.4M
Returns
ROE-44.3%-44.3%-9.6%3.7%30.6%
Valuation
P/E———24.622.85
EV/EBITDA———4.071.07
P/B0.950.950.650.910.87
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-14.5%-14.5%-9.9%-40.1%—
EPS Growth——-349.0%-87.6%—
Dividend Yield2.6%2.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.0%

Total return

-13.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-36.00 → n/d

Residual

-15.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.