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3726.T$346.00-5.46%
Fair $346.00+0.0%

3726.T

4Cs HD Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Internet RetailTokyo

$346.00

-20.00 (-5.46%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $346.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 15/F
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-361.4M · quality 65.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 36/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

15/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -14.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3726.TLocal privado en este navegador · 4Cs HD Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-14.7%

↓

Gross Margin

68.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.47

↑
52-Week Range$346
$343$1076

TradingView lightweight chart

3726.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $346.00Periodo -88.2%
Fair value: $346.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-32.3%

FCF / Net income

3.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.44B · net income $-243.9M · FCF $-788.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

68.0%+0.1% pts

Operating margin

-6.8%-1.6% pts

Net margin

-10.0%-3.3% pts

FCF margin

-32.3%-30.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.44B$2.44B$2.26B$2.14B$2.32B
Net Income$-243.9M$-243.9M$-273.0M$-272.6M$-156.5M
EBITDA$-87.9M$-87.9M$-200.3M$-206.6M$-96.2M
EPS-23.64-23.64-31.27-35.29-21.76
Gross Margin68.0%68.0%66.1%67.0%67.9%
Operating Margin-6.8%-6.8%-5.6%-10.0%-5.1%
Net Margin-10.0%-10.0%-12.1%-12.8%-6.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.470.470.461.461.43
Current Ratio3.403.40———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-788.2M$-788.2M$-361.4M$-332.5M$-45.1M
Returns
ROE-14.7%-14.7%-23.3%-52.6%-34.5%
Valuation
P/B2.152.153.566.956.86
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.1%8.1%5.7%-8.1%—
EPS Growth24.4%24.4%11.4%-62.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -45.0%

Total return

-45.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-31.27 → -23.64

Residual

-45.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-45.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.