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3778.HK$2.40+0.00%
Fair $2.40+0.0%

3778.HK

China Weaving Materials Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Textile ManufacturingHKSE

$2.40

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.40Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $76.2M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -1.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3778.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Weaving Materials Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$301M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

3.9x

↓

ROE

-1.0%

↓

Gross Margin

6.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.58

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

3778.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.400Periodo -68.9%
Fair value: $2.400

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.0%

FCF CAGR

-6.2%

FCF margin

8.6%

FCF / Net income

-14.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.10B · net income $-6.7M · FCF $94.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

6.6%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

2.0%+2.3% pts

Net margin

-0.6%+0.3% pts

FCF margin

8.6%-0.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.10B$1.10B$1.28B$1.11B$1.32B
Net Income$-6.7M$-6.7M$-11.7M$-26.5M$-12.6M
EBITDA$100.5M$100.5M$84.0M$56.7M$79.6M
EPS——-0.09-0.21-0.10
Gross Margin6.6%6.6%3.3%1.0%4.4%
Operating Margin2.0%2.0%0.1%-2.4%-0.2%
Net Margin-0.6%-0.6%-0.9%-2.4%-1.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.580.580.610.690.72
Current Ratio0.840.84———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$94.2M$94.2M$76.2M$-96.7M$114.1M
Returns
ROE-1.0%-1.0%-1.7%-3.9%-1.8%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA3.863.869.2811.6810.32
P/B0.460.460.850.550.80
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-14.5%-14.5%15.8%-16.0%—
EPS Growth——55.8%-112.0%—
Dividend Yield6.3%6.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -30.6%

Total return

-30.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.09 → n/d

Residual

-36.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+6.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-36.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.