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v0.1
3813.HK$0.40+2.56%
Fair $0.40+0.0%

3813.HK

Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Footwear & AccessoriesHKSE

$0.40

+0.01 (+2.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.40Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $804.0M · quality 69.0/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 56/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 2.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3813.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Pou Sheng International (Holdings) Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.1B

P/E

8.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.9x

↓

ROE

2.4%

↓

Gross Margin

33.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.13

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

3813.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.400Periodo -84.7%
Fair value: $0.400

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.8%

FCF CAGR

-49.5%

FCF margin

1.8%

FCF / Net income

1.43x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $17.13B · net income $210.8M · FCF $301.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.5%-2.4% pts

Operating margin

2.2%-0.1% pts

Net margin

1.2%+0.8% pts

FCF margin

1.8%-10.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$17.13B$17.13B$18.45B$20.06B$18.64B
Net Income$210.8M$210.8M$491.5M$490.4M$89.2M
EBITDA$1.36B$1.36B$1.85B$2.00B$2.00B
EPS0.040.040.090.090.02
Gross Margin33.5%33.5%34.2%33.7%35.9%
Operating Margin2.2%2.2%3.9%3.9%2.2%
Net Margin1.2%1.2%2.7%2.4%0.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.130.130.170.220.34
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$301.5M$301.5M$804.0M$3.06B$2.34B
Returns
ROE2.4%2.4%5.6%5.8%1.1%
Valuation
P/E8.008.005.177.0847.67
EV/EBITDA1.921.921.421.752.90
P/B0.240.240.290.410.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.2%-7.2%-8.0%7.7%—
EPS Growth-57.2%-57.2%0.1%450.0%—
Dividend Yield3.4%3.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

-52.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

1.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

-58.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.07

Spread vs growth

-62.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -14.1%

Total return

-14.1%

Start / end P/E

5.1x → 9.9x

EPS bridge

0.09 → 0.04

Residual

-53.1%

EPS growth-57.2%
Multiple rerating+92.8%
Dividend+3.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-53.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.