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3815.T$442.00-0.45%
Fair $442.00+0.0%

3815.T

Media Kobo, Inc.

Communication Services / Internet Content & InformationTokyo

$442.00

-2.00 (-0.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $442.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 9/F
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-92.2M · quality 32.3/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

9/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -71.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3815.TLocal privado en este navegador · Media Kobo, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.8B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-71.8%

↓

Gross Margin

48.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.70

↑
52-Week Range$442
$441$610

TradingView lightweight chart

3815.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $442.00Periodo -22.8%
Fair value: $442.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-24.1%

FCF / Net income

0.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.87B · net income $-508.2M · FCF $-450.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

48.5%-2.1% pts

Operating margin

-17.3%-26.1% pts

Net margin

-27.1%-34.1% pts

FCF margin

-24.1%-34.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.87B$1.87B$2.01B$2.07B$2.20B
Net Income$-508.2M$-508.2M$-271.0M$35.3M$153.8M
EBITDA$-383.2M$-383.2M$-202.4M$80.8M$228.3M
EPS-50.21-50.21—3.5115.26
Gross Margin48.5%48.5%49.7%51.5%50.7%
Operating Margin-17.3%-17.3%-7.0%2.8%8.8%
Net Margin-27.1%-27.1%-13.5%1.7%7.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.701.701.230.841.04
Current Ratio1.861.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-450.7M$-450.7M$-92.2M$-40.9M$228.1M
Returns
ROE-71.8%-71.8%-25.9%2.6%11.3%
Valuation
P/E———77.2124.57
EV/EBITDA———22.6712.29
P/B6.326.324.242.032.79
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.9%-6.9%-2.9%-5.9%—
EPS Growth———-77.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -15.6%

Total return

-15.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → -50.21

Residual

-15.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.