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3816.T$1136.00-0.44%
Fair $1136.00+0.0%

3816.T

Daiwa Computer Co., Ltd.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$1136.00

-5.00 (-0.44%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1136.00Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $317.7M · quality 80.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 80/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3816.TLocal privado en este navegador · Daiwa Computer Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.4B

P/E

16.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.0x

↓

ROE

6.7%

↑

Gross Margin

32.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$1136
$1093$1300

TradingView lightweight chart

3816.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,136Periodo +73.7%
Fair value: $1,136

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.0%

FCF CAGR

+15.4%

FCF margin

17.8%

FCF / Net income

1.71x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.29B · net income $342.2M · FCF $585.3M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

32.2%-2.3% pts

Operating margin

17.2%-0.5% pts

Net margin

10.4%-2.2% pts

FCF margin

17.8%+3.2% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$3.29B$3.29B$3.01B$2.88B$2.61B
Net Income$342.2M$342.2M$329.0M$339.6M$328.9M
EBITDA$585.1M$585.1M$551.0M$541.0M$530.6M
EPS88.2988.2984.9287.46—
Gross Margin32.2%32.2%32.0%31.1%34.5%
Operating Margin17.2%17.2%16.8%16.4%17.7%
Net Margin10.4%10.4%10.9%11.8%12.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.020.010.01
Current Ratio8.158.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$585.3M$585.3M$317.7M$276.5M$380.4M
Returns
ROE6.7%6.7%6.9%7.7%7.7%
Valuation
P/E16.6916.6910.9811.40—
EV/EBITDA1.041.040.791.331.99
P/B0.860.860.750.880.94
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.5%9.5%4.4%10.2%—
EPS Growth4.0%4.0%-2.9%——
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$100.80

Spread vs growth

-0.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$121.97

Spread vs growth

-2.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$196.43

Spread vs growth

-4.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.6%

Total return

+2.6%

Start / end P/E

13.2x → 12.9x

EPS bridge

84.92 → 88.29

Residual

-0.1%

EPS growth+4.0%
Multiple rerating-2.9%
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.