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v0.1
3818.HK$0.34+1.49%
Fair $0.34+0.0%

3818.HK

China Dongxiang (Group) Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel ManufacturingHKSEHK

$0.34

+0.00 (+1.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.34Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $73.1M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 2.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3818.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Dongxiang (Group) Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

6.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.2x

↓

ROE

2.2%

↓

Gross Margin

68.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

3818.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.340Periodo -93.7%
Fair value: $0.340

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.4%

FCF / Net income

0.35x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.68B · net income $207.0M · FCF $73.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

68.6%+10.0% pts

Operating margin

-1.1%+11.8% pts

Net margin

12.3%+105.4% pts

FCF margin

4.4%+18.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.68B$1.68B$1.74B$1.68B$1.92B
Net Income$207.0M$207.0M$-639.4M$115.0M$-1.78B
EBITDA$351.2M$351.2M$-655.8M$259.3M$-1.72B
EPS0.040.04-0.110.02-0.30
Gross Margin68.6%68.6%68.4%63.3%58.6%
Operating Margin-1.1%-1.1%0.6%-3.7%-12.8%
Net Margin12.3%12.3%-36.7%6.8%-93.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.010.02
Current Ratio7.457.45———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$73.1M$73.1M$143.5M$30.3M$-262.6M
Returns
ROE2.2%2.2%-7.0%1.2%-19.1%
Valuation
P/E6.806.80—16.84—
EV/EBITDA1.171.17—-2.18—
P/B0.220.220.230.200.29
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.7%-3.7%3.9%-12.4%—
EPS Growth132.4%132.4%-656.1%106.4%—
Dividend Yield4.5%4.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

137.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

131.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

127.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.4%

Total return

-9.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.11 → 0.04

Residual

-13.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-13.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.