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3828.HK$0.79+0.00%
Fair $0.79+0.0%

3828.HK

Ming Fai International Holdings Limited

Consumer Defensive / Household & Personal ProductsHKSE

$0.79

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.79Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $168.0M · quality 75.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 68/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 3828.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Ming Fai International Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$580M

P/E

5.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.0x

↓

ROE

7.3%

↑

Gross Margin

21.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

3828.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.790Periodo -71.8%
Fair value: $0.790

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.7%

FCF CAGR

+18.5%

FCF margin

7.8%

FCF / Net income

1.73x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.24B · net income $100.7M · FCF $174.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.6%-2.0% pts

Operating margin

5.1%-0.9% pts

Net margin

4.5%+0.3% pts

FCF margin

7.8%+1.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.24B$2.24B$2.31B$2.07B$1.79B
Net Income$100.7M$100.7M$143.2M$104.2M$75.5M
EBITDA$190.0M$190.0M$249.0M$212.2M$159.8M
EPS0.140.140.200.140.10
Gross Margin21.6%21.6%25.1%24.3%23.7%
Operating Margin5.1%5.1%7.9%6.8%6.0%
Net Margin4.5%4.5%6.2%5.0%4.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.030.060.12
Current Ratio2.192.19———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$174.4M$174.4M$34.7M$168.0M$104.7M
Returns
ROE7.3%7.3%10.8%8.3%6.4%
Valuation
P/E5.645.643.894.035.00
EV/EBITDA1.021.021.100.561.31
P/B0.420.420.420.340.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.1%-3.1%11.8%15.3%—
EPS Growth-29.8%-29.8%37.5%38.5%—
Dividend Yield8.9%8.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-20.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.07

Spread vs growth

-9.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.08

Spread vs growth

-20.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.14

Spread vs growth

-29.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.1%

Total return

+10.1%

Start / end P/E

3.9x → 5.7x

EPS bridge

0.20 → 0.14

Residual

-13.2%

EPS growth-29.8%
Multiple rerating+44.3%
Dividend+8.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-13.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.