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3834.T$589.00-0.84%
Fair $589.00+0.0%

3834.T

Asahi Net, Inc.

Communication Services / Telecom ServicesTokyo

$589.00

-5.00 (-0.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $589.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $717.0M · quality 32.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3834.TLocal privado en este navegador · Asahi Net, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$15.3B

P/E

10.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.5x

↓

ROE

13.4%

↑

Gross Margin

33.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$589
$588$726

TradingView lightweight chart

3834.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $589.00Periodo +58.3%
Fair value: $589.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.1%

FCF CAGR

+40.0%

FCF margin

5.9%

FCF / Net income

0.44x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $13.08B · net income $1.75B · FCF $771.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.9%+2.9% pts

Operating margin

17.9%+2.1% pts

Net margin

13.4%+2.6% pts

FCF margin

5.9%+3.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$13.08B$13.08B$12.22B$12.17B$11.58B
Net Income$1.75B$1.75B$1.29B$1.28B$1.25B
EBITDA$3.32B$3.32B$2.85B$2.74B$2.65B
EPS64.9964.9946.4645.9244.92
Gross Margin33.9%33.9%31.1%29.2%31.0%
Operating Margin17.9%17.9%16.1%15.1%15.9%
Net Margin13.4%13.4%10.6%10.6%10.8%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio6.206.20———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$771.0M$771.0M$717.0M$-379.0M$281.0M
Returns
ROE13.4%13.4%10.3%10.7%11.1%
Valuation
P/E10.4010.4013.8012.5712.89
EV/EBITDA3.533.535.024.574.59
P/B1.211.211.421.351.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.0%7.0%0.4%5.1%—
EPS Growth39.9%39.9%1.2%2.2%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$52.26

Spread vs growth

46.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$63.24

Spread vs growth

40.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$101.85

Spread vs growth

35.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.7%

Total return

-6.7%

Start / end P/E

14.2x → 9.1x

EPS bridge

46.46 → 64.99

Residual

-14.5%

EPS growth+39.9%
Multiple rerating-36.3%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-14.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.