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3836.T$1121.00+1.63%
Fair $1121.00+0.0%

3836.T

3836.T

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$1121.00

+18.00 (+1.63%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1121.00Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $3.3B · quality 80.3/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 80/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3836.TLocal privado en este navegador · 3836.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$38.6B

P/E

11.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.8x

↓

ROE

22.0%

↑

Gross Margin

44.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$1121
$1084$1908

TradingView lightweight chart

3836.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,121Periodo +663.2%
Fair value: $1,121

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.7%

FCF CAGR

+18.3%

FCF margin

15.4%

FCF / Net income

1.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $28.23B · net income $3.43B · FCF $4.34B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

44.6%-3.1% pts

Operating margin

16.3%-1.1% pts

Net margin

12.2%+1.2% pts

FCF margin

15.4%+1.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$28.23B$28.23B$24.42B$21.42B$18.70B
Net Income$3.43B$3.43B$2.85B$2.09B$2.05B
EBITDA$5.44B$5.44B$4.68B$3.53B$3.34B
EPS94.1594.1576.6255.6554.37
Gross Margin44.6%44.6%44.8%43.9%47.7%
Operating Margin16.3%16.3%16.8%15.4%17.4%
Net Margin12.2%12.2%11.7%9.8%10.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio2.652.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.34B$4.34B$3.30B$1.43B$2.62B
Returns
ROE22.0%22.0%21.4%17.0%19.3%
Valuation
P/E11.3811.3818.4424.4927.11
EV/EBITDA4.844.848.9211.6213.78
P/B2.622.623.954.165.23
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.6%15.6%14.0%14.5%—
EPS Growth22.9%22.9%37.7%2.4%—
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

1.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$99.47

Spread vs growth

21.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$120.36

Spread vs growth

17.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$193.84

Spread vs growth

15.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -22.6%

Total return

-22.6%

Start / end P/E

19.6x → 11.9x

EPS bridge

76.62 → 94.15

Residual

-9.0%

EPS growth+22.9%
Multiple rerating-39.3%
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.