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3842.T$975.00-1.02%
Fair $975.00+0.0%

3842.T

Nextgen,Inc.

Communication Services / Telecom ServicesTokyo

$975.00

-10.00 (-1.02%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $975.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $100.4M · quality 49.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3842.TLocal privado en este navegador · Nextgen,Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.0B

P/E

10.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.3x

↓

ROE

9.4%

↑

Gross Margin

39.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.22

↓
52-Week Range$975
$860$1330

TradingView lightweight chart

3842.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $975.00Periodo -72.5%
Fair value: $975.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.2%

FCF CAGR

+89.5%

FCF margin

16.2%

FCF / Net income

2.87x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.62B · net income $204.9M · FCF $587.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.2%+2.8% pts

Operating margin

7.2%+2.2% pts

Net margin

5.7%+1.3% pts

FCF margin

16.2%+13.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.62B$3.62B$3.52B$3.05B$3.75B
Net Income$204.9M$204.9M$166.9M$-454.4M$164.7M
EBITDA$502.5M$502.5M$503.2M$-157.5M$598.4M
EPS66.5466.5454.88-165.7863.48
Gross Margin39.2%39.2%37.1%37.6%36.4%
Operating Margin7.2%7.2%5.1%1.0%5.0%
Net Margin5.7%5.7%4.7%-14.9%4.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.220.220.240.290.30
Current Ratio2.652.65———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$587.0M$587.0M$100.4M$-194.4M$86.3M
Returns
ROE9.4%9.4%8.5%-25.3%8.2%
Valuation
P/E10.3310.3313.98—10.84
EV/EBITDA3.323.323.07—1.90
P/B1.381.381.191.060.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.8%2.8%15.4%-18.6%—
EPS Growth21.2%21.2%133.1%-361.2%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

9.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$86.52

Spread vs growth

12.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$104.68

Spread vs growth

11.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$168.59

Spread vs growth

11.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.5%

Total return

+13.5%

Start / end P/E

15.9x → 14.7x

EPS bridge

54.88 → 66.54

Residual

-1.7%

EPS growth+21.2%
Multiple rerating-8.1%
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.