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v0.1
3858.T$392.00+3.16%
Fair $392.00+0.0%

3858.T

Ubiquitous AI Corporation

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$392.00

+12.00 (+3.16%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $392.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 8/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $101.2M · quality 54.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 31/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3858.TLocal privado en este navegador · Ubiquitous AI Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.1B

P/E

45.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.5x

↓

ROE

3.8%

↓

Gross Margin

41.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$392
$321$507

TradingView lightweight chart

3858.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $392.00Periodo -86.9%
Fair value: $392.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+26.2%

FCF CAGR

-20.0%

FCF margin

2.4%

FCF / Net income

1.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.14B · net income $91.1M · FCF $101.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

41.6%-6.5% pts

Operating margin

2.3%-1.4% pts

Net margin

2.2%+4.1% pts

FCF margin

2.4%-7.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.14B$4.14B$3.48B$1.94B$2.06B
Net Income$91.1M$91.1M$32.9M$-148.2M$-39.7M
EBITDA$245.2M$245.2M$227.3M$-65.9M$113.3M
EPS8.718.713.15-14.17-3.80
Gross Margin41.6%41.6%41.3%44.4%48.1%
Operating Margin2.3%2.3%2.1%-4.3%3.8%
Net Margin2.2%2.2%0.9%-7.6%-1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.12——
Current Ratio4.134.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$101.2M$101.2M$166.5M$-166.2M$197.4M
Returns
ROE3.8%3.8%1.4%-6.4%-1.6%
Valuation
P/E45.0145.01162.54——
EV/EBITDA11.5011.5018.34—39.84
P/B1.711.712.291.702.14
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth19.0%19.0%79.5%-5.8%—
EPS Growth176.5%176.5%122.2%-272.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

58.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$34.78

Spread vs growth

117.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

37.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$42.09

Spread vs growth

139.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

22.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$67.78

Spread vs growth

153.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.3%

Total return

-1.3%

Start / end P/E

126.0x → 45.0x

EPS bridge

3.15 → 8.71

Residual

-113.5%

EPS growth+176.5%
Multiple rerating-64.3%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-113.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.