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3860.HK$0.58+3.57%
Fair $0.58+0.0%

3860.HK

EPS Creative Health Technology Group Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Apparel RetailHKSE

$0.58

+0.02 (+3.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.58Fund rank 29/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 48/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 21%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-33.6M · quality 58.3/100

Data gap 29/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

48/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3860.HKLocal privado en este navegador · EPS Creative Health Technology Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$303M

P/E

14.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.0x

↓

ROE

32.0%

↑

Gross Margin

17.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

3860.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.580Periodo +18.4%
Fair value: $0.580

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.61x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $544.5M · net income $38.6M · FCF $-23.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.4%+2.6% pts

Operating margin

-1.5%+1.2% pts

Net margin

7.1%+11.4% pts

FCF margin

-4.3%-5.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$544.5M$544.5M$644.6M$452.9M$519.9M
Net Income$38.6M$38.6M$-22.1M$-45.7M$-22.6M
EBITDA$57.5M$57.5M$-3.0M$-37.9M$-14.5M
EPS0.070.07-0.04-0.09-0.05
Gross Margin17.4%17.4%15.4%15.0%14.8%
Operating Margin-1.5%-1.5%-4.5%-9.0%-2.8%
Net Margin7.1%7.1%-3.4%-10.1%-4.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.180.030.04
Current Ratio1.391.39———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-23.6M$-23.6M$-33.6M$-40.5M$3.7M
Returns
ROE32.0%32.0%-33.8%-52.2%-17.2%
Valuation
P/E14.5014.50———
EV/EBITDA3.013.01———
P/B2.502.507.656.335.29
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.5%-15.5%42.3%-12.9%—
EPS Growth268.0%268.0%51.8%-102.4%—
Dividend Yield1.7%1.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

279.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

271.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

3.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.10

Spread vs growth

265.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.1%

Total return

+20.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.04 → 0.07

Residual

+18.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+18.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.