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v0.1
3886.HK$0.22+2.37%
Fair $0.22+0.0%

3886.HK

Town Health International Medical Group Limited

Healthcare / Medical Care FacilitiesHKSE

$0.22

+0.01 (+2.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.22Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $206.1M · quality 59.0/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3886.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Town Health International Medical Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.5B

P/E

102.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

1.7x

↓

ROE

0.5%

↑

Gross Margin

26.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

3886.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.216Periodo -42.1%
Fair value: $0.216

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.2%

FCF CAGR

+181.0%

FCF margin

7.2%

FCF / Net income

8.99x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.79B · net income $14.4M · FCF $129.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.0%-1.0% pts

Operating margin

4.4%+2.8% pts

Net margin

0.8%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

7.2%+6.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.79B$1.79B$1.83B$1.83B$1.54B
Net Income$14.4M$14.4M$-203.7M$-194.2M$15.3M
EBITDA$247.9M$247.9M$35.5M$48.2M$222.7M
EPS0.000.00-0.03-0.030.00
Gross Margin26.0%26.0%26.6%27.4%27.0%
Operating Margin4.4%4.4%4.6%5.6%1.6%
Net Margin0.8%0.8%-11.1%-10.6%1.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.110.140.14
Current Ratio3.643.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$129.2M$129.2M$206.1M$229.8M$5.8M
Returns
ROE0.5%0.5%-6.8%-6.0%0.4%
Valuation
P/E102.86102.86——171.43
EV/EBITDA1.711.7133.6531.659.63
P/B0.490.490.690.650.76
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-2.6%-2.6%0.0%19.4%—
EPS Growth107.0%107.0%-4.9%-1466.7%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

109.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

-2.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

61.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

45.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

33.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.04

Spread vs growth

73.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.4%

Total return

-8.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.03 → 0.00

Residual

-9.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.