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v0.1
3889.HK$0.07+7.58%
Fair $0.07+0.0%

3889.HK

Global Corn Group Limited

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsHKSE

$0.07

+0.01 (+7.58%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.07Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-37.9M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3889.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Global Corn Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$137M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

38.3%

↑

Gross Margin

9.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

-0.95

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

3889.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.071Periodo -96.7%
Fair value: $0.071

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.7%

FCF / Net income

0.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $491.0M · net income $-131.9M · FCF $-37.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.2%+1.7% pts

Operating margin

-7.9%+9.8% pts

Net margin

-26.9%+32.2% pts

FCF margin

-7.7%-11.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$491.0M$491.0M$623.5M$440.8M$359.6M
Net Income$-131.9M$-131.9M$66.6M$289.5M$-212.5M
EBITDA$-30.0M$-30.0M$120.3M$-23.1M$-31.5M
EPS-0.07-0.070.030.19-0.14
Gross Margin9.2%9.2%5.0%8.3%7.6%
Operating Margin-7.9%-7.9%-10.1%-11.2%-17.7%
Net Margin-26.9%-26.9%10.7%65.7%-59.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-0.95-0.95-1.37-1.17-1.18
Current Ratio0.130.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-37.9M$-37.9M$-192.4M$87.8M$13.1M
Returns
ROE38.3%38.3%-30.5%-77.0%31.5%
Valuation
P/E——3.960.42—
EV/EBITDA——4.53——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-21.2%-21.2%41.4%22.6%—
EPS Growth-342.9%-342.9%-85.2%236.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -33.0%

Total return

-33.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.03 → -0.07

Residual

-33.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-33.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.