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3902.T$1684.00+0.00%
Fair $1684.00+0.0%

3902.T

Medical Data Vision Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / Health Information ServicesTokyo

$1684.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1684.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $719.8M · quality 39.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 36/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 3902.TLocal privado en este navegador · Medical Data Vision Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$63.8B

P/E

227.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

135.4x

↑

ROE

9.1%

↑

Gross Margin

69.6%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$1684
$377$1693

TradingView lightweight chart

3902.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,684Periodo +254.1%
Fair value: $1,684

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.3%

FCF CAGR

-5.7%

FCF margin

11.0%

FCF / Net income

2.57x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.54B · net income $280.2M · FCF $719.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

69.6%-12.8% pts

Operating margin

5.3%-23.5% pts

Net margin

4.3%-10.0% pts

FCF margin

11.0%-3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.54B$6.54B$5.91B$6.42B$6.10B
Net Income$280.2M$280.2M$-791.2M$979.1M$870.5M
EBITDA$458.3M$458.3M$131.5M$1.87B$1.91B
EPS——-20.7325.6322.76
Gross Margin69.6%69.6%73.3%78.4%82.4%
Operating Margin5.3%5.3%0.1%27.6%28.8%
Net Margin4.3%4.3%-13.4%15.3%14.3%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio2.222.22———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$719.8M$719.8M$-1.03B$1.59B$857.6M
Returns
ROE9.1%9.1%-25.5%23.0%24.8%
Valuation
P/E227.26227.26—26.0238.80
EV/EBITDA135.38135.38103.8111.8816.51
P/B20.6820.684.845.999.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.7%10.7%-8.0%5.2%—
EPS Growth——-180.9%12.6%—
Dividend Yield0.8%0.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +311.5%

Total return

+311.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-20.73 → n/d

Residual

+310.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+310.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.