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3903.T$267.00-1.48%
Fair $267.00+0.0%

3903.T

gumi Inc.

Communication Services / Electronic Gaming & MultimediaTokyo

$267.00

-4.00 (-1.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $267.00Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.5B · quality 61.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 3903.TLocal privado en este navegador · gumi Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$13.6B

P/E

4.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.1x

↓

ROE

12.2%

↑

Gross Margin

23.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.24

↑
52-Week Range$267
$266$865

TradingView lightweight chart

3903.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $267.00Periodo -91.6%
Fair value: $267.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-22.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-28.4%

FCF / Net income

-1.23x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.94B · net income $2.06B · FCF $-2.54B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

23.4%+13.4% pts

Operating margin

4.1%+16.1% pts

Net margin

23.1%+56.2% pts

FCF margin

-28.4%-6.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.94B$8.94B$12.07B$16.01B$18.94B
Net Income$2.06B$2.06B$-5.93B$445.9M$-6.27B
EBITDA$2.59B$2.59B$-3.79B$265.5M$-5.40B
EPS43.2343.23-150.0313.05-214.07
Gross Margin23.4%23.4%-12.9%21.4%10.0%
Operating Margin4.1%4.1%-41.8%2.8%-11.9%
Net Margin23.1%23.1%-49.2%2.8%-33.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.350.270.56
Current Ratio2.992.99———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.54B$-2.54B$-6.49B$-2.00B$-4.19B
Returns
ROE12.2%12.2%-48.5%2.4%-65.3%
Valuation
P/E4.674.67—55.79—
EV/EBITDA4.134.13—72.90—
P/B0.750.751.211.341.61
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-25.9%-25.9%-24.6%-15.5%—
EPS Growth128.8%128.8%-1249.7%106.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-18.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$23.69

Spread vs growth

147.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$28.67

Spread vs growth

136.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

0.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$46.17

Spread vs growth

128.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -47.7%

Total return

-47.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-150.03 → 43.23

Residual

-47.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-47.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.