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3911.T$167.00-4.57%
Fair $167.00+0.0%

3911.T

Aiming Inc.

Communication Services / Electronic Gaming & MultimediaTokyo

$167.00

-8.00 (-4.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $167.00Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.3B · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 25/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 3911.TLocal privado en este navegador · Aiming Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.8B

P/E

7.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.6x

↓

ROE

15.8%

↑

Gross Margin

60.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$167
$166$313

TradingView lightweight chart

3911.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $167.00Periodo -91.1%
Fair value: $167.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

28.5%

FCF / Net income

4.16x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $15.83B · net income $1.09B · FCF $4.51B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

60.5%+5.6% pts

Operating margin

13.1%+10.2% pts

Net margin

6.9%+2.5% pts

FCF margin

28.5%+31.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$15.83B$15.83B$17.09B$18.20B$13.67B
Net Income$1.09B$1.09B$-341.1M$-2.23B$601.9M
EBITDA$1.48B$1.48B$-16.9M$-1.07B$330.7M
EPS23.2723.27-7.49-55.5115.03
Gross Margin60.5%60.5%55.5%55.4%55.0%
Operating Margin13.1%13.1%-3.2%-7.2%2.9%
Net Margin6.9%6.9%-2.0%-12.2%4.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.11—
Current Ratio4.074.07———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$4.51B$4.51B$-1.31B$-1.28B$-376.5M
Returns
ROE15.8%15.8%-5.9%-49.8%8.9%
Valuation
P/E7.177.17——25.95
EV/EBITDA1.621.62——31.34
P/B1.131.131.662.222.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.4%-7.4%-6.1%33.1%—
EPS Growth410.7%410.7%86.5%-469.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-14.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$14.82

Spread vs growth

424.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$17.93

Spread vs growth

415.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

2.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$28.88

Spread vs growth

408.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -33.5%

Total return

-33.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-7.49 → 23.27

Residual

-33.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-33.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.