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v0.1
3919.HK$1.30-6.47%
Fair $1.30+0.0%

3919.HK

Golden Power Group Holdings Limited

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsHKSE

$1.30

-0.09 (-6.47%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.30Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $14.7M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is 0.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3919.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Golden Power Group Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$51M

P/E

130.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.3x

↓

ROE

0.1%

↓

Gross Margin

21.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.73

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

3919.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.300Periodo -98.8%
Fair value: $1.300

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.1%

FCF / Net income

-42.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $333.5M · net income $326000.0 · FCF $-13.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.4%-0.3% pts

Operating margin

-0.6%-1.1% pts

Net margin

0.1%+7.0% pts

FCF margin

-4.1%-6.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$333.5M$333.5M$317.8M$270.3M$330.2M
Net Income$326000.00$326000.00$-6.4M$-10.9M$-22.8M
EBITDA$26.0M$26.0M$18.0M$15.5M$-4.9M
EPS——-0.24-0.45-1.26
Gross Margin21.4%21.4%25.0%26.2%21.7%
Operating Margin-0.6%-0.6%2.8%1.9%0.6%
Net Margin0.1%0.1%-2.0%-4.0%-6.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.730.730.740.720.77
Current Ratio0.480.48———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-13.7M$-13.7M$20.8M$14.7M$7.2M
Returns
ROE0.1%0.1%-2.2%-3.7%-7.9%
Valuation
P/E130.00130.00———
EV/EBITDA9.299.2911.7213.66—
P/B0.140.140.110.100.20
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.0%5.0%17.6%-18.2%—
EPS Growth——47.8%64.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +34.0%

Total return

+34.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.24 → n/d

Residual

+34.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+34.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.