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3926.T$246.00-3.15%
Fair $246.00+0.0%

3926.T

OpenDoor Inc.

Communication Services / Internet Content & InformationTokyo

$246.00

-8.00 (-3.15%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $246.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 13/F
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-24.2M · quality 32.0/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

13/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -2.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3926.TLocal privado en este navegador · OpenDoor Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-2.8%

↓

Gross Margin

59.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$246
$246$532

TradingView lightweight chart

3926.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $246.00Periodo -71.2%
Fair value: $246.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+26.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.0%

FCF / Net income

0.20x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.41B · net income $-120.7M · FCF $-24.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

59.7%+14.8% pts

Operating margin

-4.2%+50.2% pts

Net margin

-5.0%+40.3% pts

FCF margin

-1.0%-9.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.41B$2.41B$2.56B$2.06B$1.20B
Net Income$-120.7M$-120.7M$-170.2M$-44.7M$-544.8M
EBITDA$-73.0M$-73.0M$-153.1M$-14.5M$-583.1M
EPS-3.89-3.89-5.49-1.44-17.57
Gross Margin59.7%59.7%65.4%59.5%44.9%
Operating Margin-4.2%-4.2%-7.1%-2.5%-54.4%
Net Margin-5.0%-5.0%-6.6%-2.2%-45.3%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio5.055.05———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-24.2M$-24.2M$-351.1M$-21.9M$101.5M
Returns
ROE-2.8%-2.8%-3.3%-0.8%-10.7%
Valuation
P/B1.761.764.588.4512.30
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.1%-6.1%24.6%71.1%—
EPS Growth29.1%29.1%-281.3%91.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -53.1%

Total return

-53.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-5.49 → -3.89

Residual

-53.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-53.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.