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3931.T$1800.00-0.55%
Fair $1800.00+0.0%

3931.T

VALUE GOLF Inc.

Communication Services / PublishingTokyo

$1800.00

-10.00 (-0.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1800.00Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 0/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-60.4M · quality 25.7/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

0/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -0.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 3931.TLocal privado en este navegador · VALUE GOLF Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

69.4x

↑

ROE

-0.7%

↓

Gross Margin

35.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.31

↑
52-Week Range$1800
$1401$2247

TradingView lightweight chart

3931.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,800Periodo -46.3%
Fair value: $1,800

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2023–2026 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-11.2%

FCF / Net income

62.56x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.43B · net income $-7.9M · FCF $-497.2M

2023-FY → 2026-FY

Gross margin

35.1%+1.7% pts

Operating margin

1.2%-4.1% pts

Net margin

-0.2%-2.8% pts

FCF margin

-11.2%-11.2% pts
MetricTTM
2026
2025
2024
2023
Income Statement
Revenue$4.43B$4.43B$4.13B$3.66B$4.44B
Net Income$-7.9M$-7.9M$5.5M$22.7M$114.8M
EBITDA$56.3M$56.3M$95.8M$71.9M$181.9M
EPS——3.0612.5663.56
Gross Margin35.1%35.1%35.6%35.5%33.4%
Operating Margin1.2%1.2%2.2%1.7%5.3%
Net Margin-0.2%-0.2%0.1%0.6%2.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.311.310.840.850.71
Current Ratio1.401.40———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-497.2M$-497.2M$-60.4M$-21.6M$473000.00
Returns
ROE-0.7%-0.7%0.5%1.9%9.8%
Valuation
P/E——315.6980.9720.81
EV/EBITDA69.3669.3618.8121.7811.34
P/B3.033.031.551.582.03
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.2%7.2%12.9%-17.7%—
EPS Growth——-75.6%-80.2%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +7.3%

Total return

+7.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

3.06 → n/d

Residual

+5.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+5.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.